Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 8:50 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsAlaska US Senate Winner
GeminiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
PolymarketWill the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Texas: TALAFREAKO vs PEN MAN
- Alaska: FISH LADY vs Dan Sullivan™
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.4M
- 24h Vol
- $814.6K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $671.2K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.6pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $34M
- 24h Vol
- $468.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.1M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-2.0pt19%
- October13%
- September 30,-0.8pt4%
- Total Vol
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Democrats win Texas and Alaska US Senate Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Democrats win Texas and Alaska US Senate Election? resolve?
- Democrats win Texas and Alaska US Senate Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Democrats win Texas and Alaska US Senate Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Texas: TALAFREAKO vs PEN MAN