Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?
GeopoliticsOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.4%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 13, 23, 12:53 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.
- List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
- Czech Republic
- United Kingdom
- United States
- Successful means the attackers must stay in government for more than six months.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030? resolve?
- Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.