Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030? resolve?

Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

• John Brennan-0.5pt21%
• Mahmoud Khalil-1.0pt20%
• James Comey-4.8pt16%

+21 more outcomes

Total Vol

$595K

24h Vol

$57.2K

POLYMARKET

Trump out as President before 2027?

• No-0.8pt95%
• Yes+0.8pt5%

Total Vol

$13.3M

24h Vol

$53.5K

POLYMARKET

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

• No+3.5pt98%
• Yes-3.5pt2%

Total Vol

$606.3K

24h Vol

$39.4K

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

• Ilhan Omar+4.0pt41.5%
• Corey Lewandowski+1.0pt26.5%
• John Brennan+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

• No+1.8pt97%
• Yes-1.8pt3%

Total Vol

$275.2K

24h Vol

$26.2K

POLYMARKET

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

• No-0.9pt86%
• Yes+0.9pt14%

Total Vol

$21.7K

24h Vol

$8.9K

• Who will be arrested in 2026?
• Maduro Prison Time?
• Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
• Ilhan Omar federally charged by which date?
• Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
• Tim Walz in jail by which date?
• Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
• Nicolás Maduro released from custody by which date?
• Ilhan Omar arrested by which date?