Will any member of the squad who lost their 2024 election get elected to the House of Representatives by 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 98.6%
No 98.6%Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 14, 24, 6:55 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWill any member of "The Squad" become Speaker of the House before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any Groyper be elected to the house by EOY 2036?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
Jamaal Bowman and Cori Bush were both defeated in primaries so far in 2024.
- Will any member of “The Squad” who lost their 2024 primary or general election get elected to the House of Representatives by 2026?
- The current members of the squad as of 2024 are:
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Ayanna Pressley
- Rashida Tlaib