Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Feb 21, 26, 1:35 PM UTCDec 31, 36, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if at least one person who identifies as or is widely recognized as a Groyper is elected to the U.S. House of Representatives by December 31, 2036.
- Resolution will be determined by examining candidate statements, media coverage, and public affiliations with the Groyper movement or Nick Fuentes's "America First" network.
- The market resolves NO if no such candidate is elected by the deadline.