Current community forecast
Explosion of interest and/or investment in AI will happen first 54.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Explosion of interest and/or investment in AI will happen first 54.1%Forecasters
50
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleAug 22, 24, 9:02 AM UTCDec 31, 24, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Consider two possible events:
- A large inflation of interest in AI.
- An explosion of interest in, and fascination with, AI, whether in a positive form (e.g. wonder) or a negative form (e.g. panic or rage).
- For example, another ChatGPT moment.
- A large deflation of interest in AI- a rough consensus that AI was overhyped, culturally and or economically, and that a reduction of interest and/or investment is warranted.
- It seems likely that one or the other will happen at some point, but which will happen first?
