Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.5%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 15, 25, 10:20 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
See analysis by Epoch AI:
- https://epochai.substack.com/p/openai-is-projecting-unprecedented
- I plan to use that article to handle ambiguities and corner cases (mergers and acquisitions, inflation).
- If there's any doubt about this resolving YES or NO on a technicality, ask the clarifying question before trading.
- The spirit of the question is about whether AI is a bubble.
- Again, any way that you can foresee that the spirit and letter of this market may differ, ask.
