Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 61.7%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 26, 10:21 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExBarack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Michigan's 7th District?
PredictItRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Abdul El-Sayed is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican nominee Mike Rogers or any third-party/write-in candidate) is certified as the winner, or if the election is won by anyone other than Abdul El-Sayed.
- Source of Truth:
- Resolution will be based on official results published by the Michigan Bureau of Elections / Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed, the market may resolve based on a consensus projection from major decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ, major networks), provided there are no active recounts or legal challenges that could plausibly alter the certified outcome.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? resolve?
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria