Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Jocelyn Benson, the Dem Governor Nominee?
7.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection5h
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastHe underpeforms her by 3 to 5.99% 28.5%-7.4ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 9:25 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
Manifold MarketsWill Jocelyn Benson win the Michigan general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jocelyn Benson become the 50th governor of the state of Michigan ?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will compare Abdul’s margin to Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic nominee for governors margin in the 2026 Michigan Senate and Governor elections.
- For example, if Abdul wins by 5% and Benson wins by 12%, this would resolve He underperforms her by 6 to 8.99% (he underperformed by 7pts)
- same if he loses.
- If he loses by 2 and she wins by 5, that means he underperformed by 7pts.
- This market resolves according to official results, or can resolve early according to associated press if the results are clear.
