What are the current odds for Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56.3% as of October 1, 2026.

Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election1mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 56.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Sep 13, 26, 11:47 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves yes if Abdul el sayeds wins the 2026 us senate election in Michigan and his winning margin is 3% or more.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56.3% as of October 1, 2026.
When does Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more? resolve?: Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
How is Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Abdul el sayeds wins the 2026 us senate election in Michigan and his winning margin is 3% or more.

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Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more?

Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more?

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