Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (92.2%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 2:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes92.2%
No7.799999999999997%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiWill the south korean fertility rate increase in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 South Korean presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) be convicted of a crime before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
South Korea has a very colorful history of corrupt presidents, with 2 presidents convicted of crimes relating to corruption and bribery in the last decade.
- If a president of South Korea is ever convicted of a crime from market creation to January 1st, 2035, the market will resolve to YES.
- Otherwise the market will resolve to NO.
- If you have a question about market resolution, ask in the comments and I will respond with how it will resolve.
