Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.4%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 28, 24, 3:03 AM UTCJan 1, 51, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024).
- Including tests.
- Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.