Will a major-party U.S. presidential candidate deploy an AI clone to talk to voters before the 2028 election?
PoliticsAIOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Oct 19, 26, 1:20 AM UTCNov 6, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if, before November 7, 2028, a candidate who becomes the Democratic or Republican presidential nominee for the 2028 election deploys or authorizes an AI-powered digital replica of themselves capable of engaging in real-time, unscripted conversations with the public.
- Requirements:
- The system must represent the candidate through their likeness, voice, or both.
- It must generate substantive answers dynamically in response to voter questions.
- It must be publicly accessible to voters, rather than restricted to internal campaign testing.
- The candidate or their official campaign must explicitly authorize its use.
