Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
PoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
JD Vance (Vice President) 23.5%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
219
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.2 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 24, 7:26 PM UTCAug 26, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
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KalshiRules
Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.
- Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
