Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 66.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 11:33 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketWhich party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
This market is a derivative combining the following other markets, and resolves directly on the basis of their individual resolutions (note that even if there is a discrepancy where the resolved party nominee is replaced, I will still use these markets):
- [markets]The market will only resolve N/A if one of the underlying markets does.
- The "Other" option accounts for all combinations not currently listed.