Current community forecast
Yes 97.5%
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71
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 31, 24, 1:56 PM UTCMay 7, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
In 2023, Rishi Sunak announced that he will be putting forward legislation for a "lifetime smoking ban".
- This would mean that the age for buying cigarettes will rise by one year every year and that anyone born after a cutoff date (proposed to be 1st January 2009) will never be able to legally buy cigarettes.
- This legislation was presented to Parliament as the Tobacco and Vapes Bill 2024:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/tobacco-and-vapes-bill-2024
- In the previous market on this subject, we thought that it was looking pretty certain that the generational smoking ban would become law during Sunak's time as Prime Minister, but this became impossible once he called a general election for July:
- @/SimonGrayson/will-a-lifetime-smoking-ban-become
