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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Liberal Democrats 32.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 25, 11:44 AM UTCJul 30, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If this person is leader of the Conservatives going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Cons?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?
Manifold MarketsIf the Prime Minister is a member of the party endorsed by the Economist in the next UK general election, who?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the party that The Economist magazine explicitly endorses in its editorial for the next UK General Election after the July 2024 election.
- If The Economist endorses a coalition rather than a single party, the market resolves to "the named outcome." If The Economist does not make an explicit endorsement, the market resolves to "the named outcome."
- The Economist has a history of making political endorsements in UK elections:
- Historically, The Economist has often endorsed the Conservative Party
- In 2001 and 2005, it endorsed Labour under Tony Blair
