Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term??

Manifold Markets prices No at 76.5% as of October 15, 2026.

When does Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term? resolve?

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.

How is Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if at least one of Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, or Ketanji Brown Jackson leaves the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term, and resolves NO otherwise.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-8.3pt76.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+9.0pt23.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$183.9M

24h Vol

$2.2M

POLYMARKET

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?

• 2028+0.5pt27%
• 2027-5.0pt13%
• June 30, 202710%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt61.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt38.5%

Total Vol

$28.2M

24h Vol

$983.1K

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.1pt90.2%
• Republican Party+0.1pt9.9%

Total Vol

$58.1M

24h Vol

$867K

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen+3.4pt45.6%
• Édouard Philippe19.4%
• David Lisnard-0.8pt11.7%

+39 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party90.1%
• Republican Party9.9%

Total Vol

$17.8M

24h Vol

$736.1K

• 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
• Presidential Election Winner 2028
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
• Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
• Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
• Brazil Presidential election winner?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
• Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028