Current community forecast
Yes 65.4%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 23, 5:53 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2045?
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsWill humans have a complete map of the human brain by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/conditional-on-uploading-tech-will)
Open markets
Science
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+3 more outcomes
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+5 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? resolve?
- Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
- How is Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain.