Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 94.3%
Forecasters
51
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 11, 25, 8:31 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
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Manifold MarketsWill the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?
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PolymarketWhat will the 51st state of the United States of America be?
Manifold MarketsRules
The last states admitted were Alaska and Hawaii in 1959
- This market will resolve YES if a 51st state is officially admitted to the Union before December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- This requires:
- Passage of an admission act by Congress
- Presidential signature (or congressional override of a veto)
- Completion of any conditions set forth in the admission act