Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94.3%
Forecasters
51
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 11, 25, 8:31 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The last states admitted were Alaska and Hawaii in 1959
- This market will resolve YES if a 51st state is officially admitted to the Union before December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- This requires:
- Passage of an admission act by Congress
- Presidential signature (or congressional override of a veto)
- Completion of any conditions set forth in the admission act
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028? resolve?
- Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The last states admitted were Alaska and Hawaii in 1959