Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastPuerto Rico 49.3%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 2, 24, 7:46 PM UTCJan 1, 41, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
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PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/51st_state
- Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple new states are added simultaneously: The market will resolve 50/50 between those states.
- Naming: This market resolves based on the colloquial area name, not the official state name.
- For example, if DC becomes a state with the official name "The State of Columbia", it would still resolve to the "the named outcome" answer option.