Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge??

Manifold Markets prices @anglospherepoliticsguy at 61.5% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? resolve?

Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?tab=leaderboard

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

• None+7.0pt32.6%
• IA-1.7pt9.2%
• IA, KS-5.0pt7.1%

+125 more outcomes

Total Vol

$33.3M

24h Vol

$12.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt70.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-4.0pt23.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.3pt

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.9pt94%
• Republican Party-0.8pt6%

Total Vol

$96.9M

24h Vol

$6.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+4.0pt74.5%
• Ken Paxton-6.0pt25.5%

Total Vol

$69.9M

24h Vol

$5.9M

KALSHI

Michigan Senate winner?

• Abdul El-Sayed+2.0pt78.5%
• Mike Rogers-1.0pt22.5%

Total Vol

$20.2M

24h Vol

$5.4M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep70.6%
• R Senate, D22.6%
• Republicans Sweep+1.0pt5.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

• Which party will win the House in 2026?
• Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
• Who will control the Senate?
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• Michigan Senate Election Winner
• Iowa Senate winner?
• Texas Senate Election Winner
• Maine Senate winner?
• Kansas Senate winner?
• How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
• California Governor winner? (Person)
• Texas Governor winner?