Who will win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?
1.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGreg Abbott 70.8%-1.2ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 25, 10:41 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Resolves to whoever wins the election.
- If no election is held in 2026, resolves "the named outcome."
