Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGreg Abbott 87.4%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 25, 10:41 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Resolves to whoever wins the election.
- If no election is held in 2026, resolves "the named outcome."
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election??
- Manifold Markets prices Greg Abbott at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election? resolve?
- Who will win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Who will win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to whoever wins the election.