Current community forecast
S led bloc 78.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 4:42 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
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PolymarketRules
A the named outcome is if S enters a coalition with either SD, M, or both.
- Update 2026-08-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The market will resolve based on which bloc actually manages to form a government after the election.
Open markets
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- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 Swedish Riksdag elections??
- Manifold Markets prices S led bloc at 78% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2026 Swedish Riksdag elections? resolve?
- Who will win the 2026 Swedish Riksdag elections? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Who will win the 2026 Swedish Riksdag elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A the named outcome is if S enters a coalition with either SD, M, or both.