Current implied probability
No 86%-0.1pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$224.5
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
+6.5 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 4, 26, 2:16 PMSep 14, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes14%
Volume trend
$225Jul 323d of dataJul 28
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In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
- Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).