Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionWeather2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMara Elliott 63.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 2, 25, 3:31 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district.
- The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- The 40th State Senate district encompasses parts of inland San Diego County, including cities such as San Marcos, Escondido, Poway, Santee, and various unincorporated communities.
- The seat is currently held by Republican Brian Jones, who will be termed out in 2026.
