KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Sara Hernandez 76.4%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.3K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
May 27, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:California Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California State Senate District 26 election winner?
- Kalshi prices Sara Hernandez at 76% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does California State Senate District 26 election winner resolve?
- California State Senate District 26 election winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is California State Senate District 26 election winner settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election, then the market resolves to Yes.