Who will win the 2026 CA insurance commissioner election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 CA insurance commissioner election??

Manifold Markets prices Ben Allen at 67% as of October 23, 2026.

When does Who will win the 2026 CA insurance commissioner election? resolve?

Who will win the 2026 CA insurance commissioner election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.

How is Who will win the 2026 CA insurance commissioner election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ or early if it seems certain (called by Associated Press, etc)

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep66%
• R Senate, D+2.0pt25.2%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$32.2M

24h Vol

$2.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep67.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-3.0pt22.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.1pt

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt65.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt34%

Total Vol

$37M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt91.5%
• Republican Party+0.1pt8.8%

Total Vol

$66.7M

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-0.8pt77%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt23%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$192.4M

24h Vol

$1.1M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party68%
• Republican Party-1.0pt32%

Total Vol

$8.7M

24h Vol

$909.3K

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