This market resolved: Labour (20%)
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 9:54 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
National4.8%
Labour30.4%
Greens39.5%
ACT5%
NZ First4.8%
Te Pati Maori4.8%
The Opportunity Party4.8%
Other6.1%
Lost
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
I won’t bet on this market.
- Election is on 7 Nov 2026.
- I haven’t fully made up my mind on who to vote for yet.
- Ask questions, I’ll try answer.
- I won’t answer questions like, what probability should ‘x’ be, or what option should be most likely.
- Resolves to who I cast my party vote for in the 2026 nz general election