Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJ. D. Vance 29.2%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
109
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 23, 12:25 PM UTCNov 2, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the 48th President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the 48th (next) President?
Manifold MarketsWill the 48th President of the United States be a member of the Democratic party?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRules
Uses the standard counting system - presidents in nonconsecutive terms get two numbers.
- At the time of market creation, Joe Biden was the 46th president.
- Currently, the named outcome is the 47th president (having previously been the 45th).
- The president after Trump will therefore be the 48th.
