Which will happen first: first hot US President 👸or US gets into a new woman war 💥🪖?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which will happen first: first hot US President 👸or US gets into a new woman war 💥🪖??

Manifold Markets prices Hot President at 78.1% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Which will happen first: first hot US President 👸or US gets into a new woman war 💥🪖? resolve?

Which will happen first: first hot US President 👸or US gets into a new woman war 💥🪖? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2040.

How is Which will happen first: first hot US President 👸or US gets into a new woman war 💥🪖? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: the named outcome will be defined by a new number one entry on https://hottestheadsofstate.com/us-presidents/ or similar reputable resource on presidential hotness.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one+40.0pt56.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+4.0pt28.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot-44.0pt13.5%

+16 more outcomes

Total Vol

$6.9M

24h Vol

$4.6M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep62.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.1%

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt90.7%
• Republican Party+0.2pt9.7%

Total Vol

$75.6M

24h Vol

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico65.5%
• Ken Paxton34.5%

Total Vol

$45.7M

24h Vol

$1.8M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep64.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$40.4M

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott-1.0pt66.5%
• Gina Hinojosa+1.0pt33.5%

Total Vol

$7.6M

24h Vol

$936.3K

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