Current community forecast
No UBI 75.8%Leader of 4 outcomes
No UBI 75.8%Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 23, 2:33 AM UTCJan 1, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
UBI Policy Levels:
- Utopian: Equal to or greater than the top 90% annual income in 2023.
- Median: Equal to the median national income in 2023.
- Minimum Wage: Equal to the legal minimum wage in 2023.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves positively for the first universal basic income (UBI) scenario that most closely matches the policy officially adopted in the US or UK (after a 'resolves after' condition is met).
