Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastSevastopol 96.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 26, 10:43 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Each option will resolve YES if, at the close date, the Russian Federation claims sovereignty over any part of the named region.
- Each option will resolve NO if, at the close date, the Russian Federation does not claim sovereignty over any part of the named region.
- This market will close at 23:59:00 UTC on 1 July 2027 and will not resolve sooner.
- Clarifications
- More options may be added.