Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic 92%
Forecasters
58
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 17, 25, 8:10 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
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FutuurRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from Georgia.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
- PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
- PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $215.7M
- 24h Vol
- $685.7K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.3pt1%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia??
- Manifold Markets prices Democratic at 92% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from Georgia.
- Where else is Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.