Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastDemocratic 89.5%+1.1pt
Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 17, 25, 8:10 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic90%
Compare venues· Democratic
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 90% | — | — | — | yesterday | |
 PredictIt90% match · auto | — | 86% | — | — | — | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?
4.0 pts11mo
-4.0pt86%
11%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S.
- Senate from Georgia.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
- PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$102Jul 1610d of dataJul 26
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The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S.
- Senate from Georgia.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
- PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.