Which of Talarico, El-Sayed and Brown have the biggest winning margin?
1.9 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAbdul El-Sayed (Michigan) 44.4%+1.9ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+11.1 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 30, 26, 2:46 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves to the candidate with the biggest margin in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election in their state.
- Margin = the candidate's vote share minus the runner-up's vote share, in percentage points.
- If the candidate loses, it's their vote share minus the winner's share, so the margin counts as a minus number (e.g. losing 47% to 51% is -4).
- The highest margin wins.
- If some or all of the three lose, the one who lost by the least still wins this market (-2 beats -5).
- Vote shares use total votes cast in that race, including third-party and write-in votes.