Will Abdul El Sayeds winning margin be greater than Jocelyn Bensons?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.5%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 30, 26, 2:48 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Resolves yes if Abdul El sayeds vote percent margin over Mike rogers is greater than Jocelyn bensons vote margin over John James.
- If Abdul wins 51-49 and Jocelyn benson wins 53-47, resolves no.
- If Abdul wins 55-45 and Jocelyn benson wins 52-48, resolves yes
- If Abdul and Jocelyn both loses, it will be decided if his losing margin is smaller than Jocelyns.
- If only Abdul loses, resolves no.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Abdul El Sayeds winning margin be greater than Jocelyn Bensons??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Abdul El Sayeds winning margin be greater than Jocelyn Bensons? resolve?
- Will Abdul El Sayeds winning margin be greater than Jocelyn Bensons? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Abdul El Sayeds winning margin be greater than Jocelyn Bensons? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Abdul El sayeds vote percent margin over Mike rogers is greater than Jocelyn bensons vote margin over John James.