Which fully recognized United Nations member country will be the first one to stop existing?
Geopolitics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Haiti 23.1%Leader of 34 outcomes
Haiti 23.1%Forecasters
90
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 24, 7:03 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
Market open until it happens
- If two countries join at the same time in an evenhanded relationship, they will both resolve 50-50 if they both cease existing.
- If a country gets annexed and loses control of all its territory, it will depend if it is still recognized by the UN and/or has a functioning government
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_states_of_the_United_Nations