What are the current odds for Which countries will join NATO by 2030? 🌐➕?

Manifold Markets prices Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦 at 71.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Which countries will join NATO by 2030? 🌐➕ resolve?

Which countries will join NATO by 2030? 🌐➕ is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Bosnia and Herzegovina 🇧🇦 71.2%

Leader of 16 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Mar 10, 24, 1:09 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

For the purposes of this market, Moldova becoming part of Romania (as part of NATO) means that Moldova would resolve YES.