Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Croatia ๐ญ๐ท 92.8%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
77
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 1, 24, 11:04 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the UK introduce mandatory conscription for any portion of its population before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)?
Manifold MarketsWill Algeria and Morocco reestablish diplomatic relations in 2026?
FutuurWill the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRules
[image]In light of increasing interstate conflicts in the 2020s, many European countries may reconsider their stance on conscription.
- Partial conscription, as seen in Sweden, could become more common across Europe.
- This market is based on official changes to conscription policy and laws, not necessarily on conscription being implemented on the ground.
- Therefore, as long as it is officially established, it counts.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-2.4pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt2%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.6M
- 24h Vol
- $983.9K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.7pt95%
- Yes+0.7pt5%
- Total Vol
- $42.2M
- 24h Vol
- $576.1K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt54.5%
- October 31-3.5pt30.9%
- September 30-2.0pt11.8%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt21%
- October 31-4.0pt11%
- September 30-1.1pt3%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Total Vol
- $66.6M
- 24h Vol
- $159.5K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? ๐ช๐ช๐บ?
- Manifold Markets prices Croatia ๐ญ๐ท at 93% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? ๐ช๐ช๐บ resolve?
- Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? ๐ช๐ช๐บ is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Which countries in Europe will reestablish conscription by 2030? ๐ช๐ช๐บ settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [image]In light of increasing interstate conflicts in the 2020s, many European countries may reconsider their stance on conscription.