Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 97%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.1 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 15, 25, 1:29 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump be impeached?
KalshiWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsRules
Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump is not impeached again, this market will resolve to other.
Open markets
US PoliticsKALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+1.2pt9.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt49%
- 25 bps increase49%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.8pt91%
- Republican Party+0.8pt9%
- Total Vol
- $34.6M
- 24h Vol
- $634.4K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-7.0pt56%
- Nithya Raman+6.0pt44%
- Total Vol
- $33.2M
- 24h Vol
- $581.3K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $68.1M
- 24h Vol
- $532.6K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Trump be impeached next??
- Manifold Markets prices December 2026 at 0.4% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does When will Trump be impeached next? resolve?
- When will Trump be impeached next? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is When will Trump be impeached next? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump is not impeached again, this market will resolve to other.