Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
< 2040 31.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
< 2040 31.9%Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 14, 24, 2:49 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
