When Will a Generation X president of the United States first be elected?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2028 81.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
2028 81.5%Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Jul 16, 24, 12:34 AM UTCDec 31, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
When is someone born on or after 1 January 1965 first elected as a US president? (Resolves based on the year the election is held, not the year the president is sworn in.
- A vice-president succeeding to a deceased or incapacitated president doesn't count.)
