Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAfter 2026 76.2%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
34
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 20, 24, 10:27 AM UTCMar 20, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketRules
Will resolve yes when the next presidential election occurs in Ukraine.
- Will resolve N/A if Ukraine republic ceases to exist.
- Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Early resolution: Answer options will be resolved to NO once their time period has passed (e.g., 2024 and 2025 can be resolved NO before the market closes in 2027).
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place??
- Manifold Markets prices After 2026 at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place? resolve?
- What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place? is scheduled to resolve on March 20, 2027.
- How is What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve yes when the next presidential election occurs in Ukraine.