Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDoesn't pass in Senate 30%+15.7ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+15.7 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 4:53 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/
- Clarifications:
- I mean specifically a bill introduced by these two people, with very similar aims as that released in the summary: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Ban-Artificial-Superintelligence-Act-Release-Summary.pdf
- If there is a clear answer before Dec 31 2027, I will resolve then
- If this exact bill fails, but a very similar one draws inspiration, I will reoslve based on the original bill
- For this market, I care only about the bill's continuity as defined by its tracking number.
