Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Democrat 57.1%-0.2ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Democrat 57.1%-0.2ptForecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 15, 24, 6:37 PM UTCFeb 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
After the 2024 election is complete and a president is inaugurated, what party will be next? Resolves after 2028 election or if the president is replaced for any reason before then.
- Does not include VP temporarily stepping in during surgery or anything like that unless it is for 10 days or longer.
- Must be officially sworn in to resolve.
