What are the current odds for What companies will increase in value if China invades Taiwan in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Intel (INTC) at 42.9% as of October 25, 2026.

What companies will increase in value if China invades Taiwan in 2026?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Intel (INTC) 42.9%

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Stale

Dec 21, 25, 7:04 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwain in 2026, any stocks that increase in value over the year of 2026 resolve YES.

If China does not launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwain in 2026, all options resolve N/A on Jan 1 2027.
Anyone should be able to submit answers to this question.
But please only submit individual stocks only --- not mutual funds, cryptocurrencies, or other investment vehicles.
Determination of whether China launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwain in 2026 will be made via this market: https://manifold.markets/CertaintyOfVictory/will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-e9672d6b84d1