Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastConnie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins 77.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 13, 26, 4:10 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.
- For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
- Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.
