Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 76%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 7:01 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 14 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on September 14 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketRules
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- [link preview]regular, current avg on October 1 2026.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.9M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $125K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026? resolve?
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://gasprices.aaa.com/