Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner (Polymarket)
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms3d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastJames Talarico (D) 57%+4.0pt
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 29, 26, 8:27 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner · James Talarico (D) 55%