Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJune 30th 36.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 26, 26, 7:17 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 8:17 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On the named outcome, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.